Every project on this site carries one of three verdicts about whether it is worth holding for the next ten years.
Hold. A project likely to still be here in a decade, with a token that does real work and no finding that its holders are being extracted from, misled, or replaced by insiders.
Watch. A project that could go either way over the same horizon. The business may be real, but how the project is owned, run, or growing sits in a gray area that keeps the case from settling.
Avoid. A project where specific reasons not to hold have been found. Either the token has no clear reason to exist, or the way it works or is governed carries a defect that survives every argument in its favour.
None of these verdicts is a price call: a Hold does not mean buy now, and an Avoid does not mean sell now. Each is a judgment about the token itself, not the company or the technology behind it. A company can sign a client every week, and none of that revenue has to reach its token; a technology can be sound while the token routed through it has no clear job.
The token is what a person is buying, and the token is what these pages judge.
Why XRP exists
Every transaction on the XRP Ledger costs a small fee, paid in XRP, and that fee exists to stop the network from being flooded with spam transactions that would otherwise slow it down for everyone.
What happens to that fee is unusual, and it is covered in the next section.
The money is real, has been shrinking, and every bit of it disappears
Over the trailing year, people paid $331,401 in fees to use the XRP Ledger. Measured over just the most recent three months and projected across a year instead, the pace comes to $134,307.83, well under half the trailing-year figure. Activity has been declining, and the decline is sharp: monthly fees ran as high as $865,896 in October 2024 and have fallen to under $10,000 a month by mid-2026.
What makes XRP's fee mechanism unusual is not the amount. It is where the money goes. Every single fee paid on the XRP Ledger is destroyed the instant it's paid: not collected by a company, not paid to whoever validated the transaction, not sent to any treasury. It simply stops existing. Since the ledger's creation, this has permanently removed 14,375,309.54 XRP from the total supply, a figure read directly from the ledger itself rather than estimated.
This is worth stating plainly: unlike many networks where fees are shared between a company, a foundation, and the people running the network, XRP's fee mechanism gives nothing to anyone. Whatever value that destruction creates is spread across every single person holding XRP, in the form of a very slightly smaller total supply for everyone else's XRP to be measured against.
Source: XRP fees, DefiLlama; live XRP Ledger data
XRP Ledger's monthly fees, Oct 2024 to Aug 2026
Total transaction fees paid each month, all of which are destroyed rather than collected by anyone. Monthly fees have fallen from $865,896 at the start of this record to under $10,000 a month by mid-2026.
More XRP enters circulation each year than the fee burn removes, by a wide margin
XRP's total supply cannot grow. All 100 billion XRP that will ever exist were created when the ledger began, and there has never been a second issuance event of any kind. In that sense, XRP has no faucet at all.
But a large share of that original supply sits in an escrow controlled by Ripple Labs, and it releases on a fixed schedule: 1,000,000,000 XRP on the first of every month, continuing until April 2029. Most of what's released each month is put directly back into a new escrow rather than immediately entering circulation, but the net effect is still substantial: roughly 3.98 billion XRP a year newly available, against circulating supply of 61,977,843,307. That works out to about 6.42% of circulating supply added per year from this one channel alone.
Compare that to the fee burn described above: roughly 256,900 XRP destroyed per year, or about 0.00041% of circulating supply. The ratio between the two is roughly 15,500 to 1. The burn mechanism is real and it is the cleanest in this framework's corpus, but next to the scheduled escrow release, its effect on total supply is close to negligible.
Source: live XRP Ledger data; escrow schedule per Ripple Labs
XRP entering circulation vs. XRP destroyed, per year
Ripple's scheduled escrow release against the usage-tied fee burn. Log scale, since the two differ by a factor of roughly 15,500 to one.
The price, against the earning
XRP's market value, the price of every XRP in existence multiplied together, is $80,249,326,685. Divide that by the annualised run-rate from the most recent three months and XRP trades at roughly 597,500 times its current yearly fee income. Using the full trailing year instead of the recent run-rate, the multiple is a still-enormous 242,000 times.
For comparison, a wireless network project this framework has used as its example of an extreme, speculative valuation traded at roughly 87,000 times its own annual fees. XRP's multiple, on either measure, is several times larger than that.
There is a real, honest counter-argument, and it deserves to be stated rather than dismissed. A settlement asset whose fees are burned rather than collected was never designed to be valued on fee income in the first place; a near-zero fee take here is the intended design, not a shortfall. That is a fair point about what XRP is for. It does not change the fact that, on the specific question of how its price compares to its measured activity, the gap is larger here than for any other project assessed by this framework.
Source: XRP fees, DefiLlama; XRP on CoinGecko
XRP's price against what it earns in fees
Market value divided by yearly fee income. XRP trades at roughly 597,500 times its annualised fees, the widest gap this framework has measured. Scale extended past the usual range to fit it.
Who holds XRP, and who controls how much more arrives
As of 30 June 2026, Ripple Labs holds 37,656,053,914 XRP, about 37.66% of everything in existence. Of that, 32,600,000,000 sits in the escrow described earlier, and the remaining 5,056,053,914 is held outside it. At an earlier snapshot, 31 March 2025, Ripple's position was larger still: 41,692,433,152 XRP, or about 41.69% of supply at the time.
These figures come from Ripple's own website, not from an independent filing. Ripple used to publish a structured quarterly disclosure of these numbers; that practice ended after the first quarter of 2025. What exists now is a live company webpage stating the current figures without a fixed publication date, updated periodically and replaced each time rather than archived. The numbers reconcile correctly against the ledger's own total supply, so there is no reason to doubt them, but they carry less formal weight than a dated report would.
One company holding more than a third of an asset, and controlling the multi-year schedule on which thirty-two billion more of it becomes available, is a genuinely large concentration by any standard. It is worth being precise about what that concentration does and does not mean, which the next section addresses.
Source: Ripple's XRP holdings, accessed 29 August 2026
Who actually runs the ledger
Ripple Labs owning a large share of XRP does not, by itself, give it control over how the XRP Ledger operates. Changes to the ledger's rules are decided by validator voting: a supermajority of trusted validators has to agree before anything changes, and owning XRP does not grant a vote in that process the way it might in a token-weighted governance system elsewhere.
Which validators are actually trusted is a separate question, and it has a real answer. The XRP Ledger Foundation publishes a cryptographically signed list of validators most participants trust by default, currently 35 of them, current as of a version dated 3 July 2026. A public validator explorer, cross-checked against that same signed list, identifies who operates them: Ripple itself runs two, and the rest are a mix of cryptocurrency exchanges, companies built around the XRP Ledger, and a substantial number of universities.
Two honest limits apply to that picture. Every operator's identity on the public list is self-reported, not independently verified. And whether those 35 validators are genuinely independent of each other, or of Ripple, has not been audited by anyone outside the organizations involved. The count and the roster are real and current; how independent the roster actually is remains an open question.
Source: XRPL Foundation validator list (unl.xrplf.org); XRP Ledger validator explorer
What Ripple Labs holds versus what it runs
Share of XRP supply Ripple holds, against the share of trusted validators Ripple operates. Two different kinds of concentration, measured on the same 0-100% scale.
Two separate security incidents, and they are not the same kind of event
Two distinct security events appear in the public record. Conflating them would misstate both.
The larger one, roughly $112.5 million worth of XRP, was a personal-wallet compromise, not a breach of the network or the company. Ripple co-founder Chris Larsen described it as "unauthorized access to a few of my personal XRP accounts (not @Ripple)," and Ripple's own leadership confirmed that no Ripple-managed wallets were affected. This was a theft from an individual, using the XRP Ledger to move stolen funds, not a failure of the ledger itself.
Separately, a software library Ripple recommends for developers, called xrpl.js, was briefly compromised: malicious code capable of stealing private keys was inserted into several published versions. It was caught and removed within roughly seventeen hours, and the XRP Ledger Foundation confirmed that the ledger's own codebase and infrastructure were never affected. No confirmed user losses are recorded from this incident.
Source: adverse news coverage in the underlying assessment
What Watch means for someone holding XRP
XRP is a rare case where a framework built to catch extraction finds none, and a framework built to reward decentralization finds a great deal of concentration in one place, at the same time.
The case in its favour is genuinely strong on its own terms. Every transaction fee is destroyed rather than collected by anyone, which this framework treats as the strongest possible form of value return to holders. The mechanism is corroborated directly on the ledger, not just asserted. There has never been a second issuance event, and the reward structure depends on real usage rather than new buyers.
The case against it is just as concrete. One company holds more than a third of the total supply and controls the schedule on which billions more become available through 2029, a scheduled release that dwarfs the fee burn by a factor of roughly 15,500 to one. And XRP's price sits at roughly 600 times its current yearly fee income on the most recent data, the largest such gap this framework has measured for any project.
Watch does not mean buy now. It means the case for holding XRP over the next ten years depends heavily on how that concentration resolves over time, not on whether the underlying fee mechanism works, which it demonstrably does.
Someone who owns XRP owns a share of the strongest fee-burn mechanism this framework has measured, in an asset where more than a third of the total supply, and the pace at which billions more of it reaches the market, sits with one company.
ROI through the years
Bought and held to 9 September 2026, never traded. RIPPLE is younger than the 10-year window, so that row is everything since it started trading instead.
Bought at listing, May 2017
+385%
Bought 5 years ago, September 2021
+29%
Bought 3 years ago, September 2023
+178%
Returns and falls are measured on daily closing prices, so a one-minute crash that did not settle cannot enter them. The worst drop is the largest peak-to-trough fall inside that row's window, not the token's all-time worst. Bars sit on a log scale of what one dollar became. Sources: Kraken, Binance.
What could not be answered
How independent the 35 trusted validators actually are from each other and from Ripple. Their identities are published and self-reported, but no outside audit of their independence exists in the public record used for this assessment.
How much of the 62.3 billion XRP Ripple has already distributed sits with parties who might coordinate with Ripple, versus genuinely independent holders. Ripple's own disclosure covers what it still holds directly; it says nothing about the ultimate ownership of what it has already sold or distributed.
How active development on the ledger's own core software actually is. The development-activity data available for this assessment measured a Ripple marketing website's repository rather than the XRP Ledger's own codebase, so no reliable read on core development activity was available.
Karinva takes no payment from any project it covers.