Every project on this site carries one of three verdicts about whether it is worth holding for the next ten years.

Hold. A project likely to still be here in a decade, with a token that does real work and no finding that its holders are being extracted from, misled, or replaced by insiders.

Watch. A project that could go either way over the same horizon. The business may be real, but how the project is owned, run, or growing sits in a gray area that keeps the case from settling.

Avoid. A project where specific reasons not to hold have been found. Either the token has no clear reason to exist, or the way it works or is governed carries a defect that survives every argument in its favour.

None of these verdicts is a price call: a Hold does not mean buy now, and an Avoid does not mean sell now. Each is a judgment about the token itself, not the company or the technology behind it. A company can sign a client every week, and none of that revenue has to reach its token; a technology can be sound while the token routed through it has no clear job.

The token is what a person is buying, and the token is what these pages judge.

Why ZEC exists

Every transaction on Zcash costs a fee, paid in ZEC, which stops the network being flooded with free transactions.

Where that fee goes is unusually simple. All of it goes to the miners who process transactions. Not most of it, all of it. There is no protocol cut, no treasury share, no fee routed to anyone else. The data source measuring Zcash's economics states this directly: its revenue line, meaning money captured by the protocol itself, reads "No revenue" as a stated methodology rather than as missing data, across 3,541 daily observations.

Beyond paying fees, ZEC is a bearer asset. It is held directly, transferred directly, and optionally shielded so that the transfer is private. That is the whole of what it does, and it is the whole of what it was built to do.

The money is real, it is small, and it recently came back

Over the trailing year, people paid $603,871 in fees to use Zcash. The record is nearly complete, covering 99.7% of the days in the year, and it runs back to December 2016, within weeks of the network's launch.

Against Zcash's size, the figure is very small. A year of fees comes to 0.0067% of the total value of all ZEC in existence, roughly one part in fifteen thousand. For comparison, an app store typically takes fifteen to thirty percent of what happens on it. There is no protocol take here at all, because there is no mechanism through which anyone could take one.

The pattern over ten years is not the one most projects show. Fees were meaningful in 2017 and 2018, then collapsed to almost nothing and stayed there for five years, running between $14,000 and $30,000 for the whole of 2019 through 2024. Then in 2025 they jumped to $428,976, peaking at $239,498 in a single month in November 2025, and 2026 has run at a similar elevated level. Whatever drove that, Zcash's usage is currently higher than it has been at any point since 2018, not lower.

Source: Zcash fees, DefiLlama

The price, against the earning

Zcash's market value, the price of every ZEC in existence multiplied together, is $9,072,088,866. Divide that by the annualised fee run-rate from the most recent three months and Zcash trades at roughly 25,695 times its current yearly fee income.

That is the second-widest gap measured across every project assessed here, behind only Dogecoin. For comparison, a wireless network project this framework uses as its example of an extreme, speculative valuation traded at roughly 87,000 times its own fees.

Zcash has one defence available that most projects with a similar gap do not, and it should be stated precisely rather than leaned on. A meaningful share of the activity on this network is deliberately invisible: shielded transactions hide their amounts by design, so any economic activity conducted privately cannot appear in any fee measurement anywhere. That bounds what this ratio can mean. It does not reduce the number, and it cannot be quantified in either direction.

Source: Zcash fees, DefiLlama; Zcash on CoinGecko

The 21 million cap is real, and 20% has not been issued

Zcash has a maximum supply of 21,000,000 ZEC, inherited from Bitcoin's design along with the halving schedule that gets there. This is a genuine, protocol-enforced ceiling, not a projection or a target.

That distinction matters more than it sounds, because it runs the opposite way to several other projects assessed here, where a figure presented as a maximum supply turned out to be a modelled estimate of where supply might land rather than a limit anyone was bound by. Zcash's is a real cap.

Of that 21 million, 16,688,225 exist today, so 79.5% has been issued and 20.5%, about 4.3 million ZEC, has not. That remainder will be created over time as mining rewards, diluting existing holders as it arrives. It is a real and disclosed overhang.

How that issuance is structured, the halving schedule, the block reward, and the development funding arrangement Zcash has had in various forms, is not something this assessment can describe. None of it appears in the material available here, so this page says nothing about it rather than guessing.

Source: Zcash on CoinGecko

Nothing is built on Zcash, and that is the whole case against it

Every one of the four failing tests in this assessment says a version of the same thing: there is no ecosystem on Zcash. No applications, no lending platforms, no exchanges built on the chain itself, nothing that would generate the compounding cycle of a platform improving because of what people build on it.

That is factually correct. Zcash has no smart contract layer, so it cannot host that kind of application. The figure sometimes quoted as Zcash's total value locked, about $2.2 million, is not Zcash's at all: it is ZEC that has been moved off Zcash into other networks' bridges and lending markets, 94% of it concentrated in a single one. Native activity of that kind on Zcash is exactly zero.

The honest question is whether that is a failure. Zcash was not built to host a financial ecosystem; it was built so that a payment can be made privately. Three of the four failing tests are the same absence read through three different rubrics, and a reader who thinks a privacy payment network is not obliged to have a DeFi ecosystem removes all three at once, which would take this assessment out of the Watch band entirely.

The fourth failure is narrower and rests on measurement rather than judgment: Zcash is not among the top twenty networks by revenue, and $603,871 a year is why.

Source: Zcash TVL, DefiLlama

Most of this framework does not reach Zcash

This assessment tests projects against seventy-three questions. For Zcash, forty-one of them, 56%, could not be applied at all. That is the highest proportion of any project assessed here.

The reason is specific and worth stating plainly: this framework contains no question about privacy and no question about zero-knowledge cryptography. It was built to assess general-purpose networks, so it asks about applications, lending markets, stablecoins, exchange architecture and how value flows between a platform and the products on it. Zcash has none of those things, so those questions are category mismatches rather than failures, and they were recorded as inapplicable rather than counted against it.

The sharpest illustration is a single question. The closest thing in this entire framework to a test of what Zcash actually contributes, whether cryptographic primitives function as infrastructure, was itself recorded as inapplicable.

Zcash was assessed by a framework that has no question for the thing it was built to do. The verdict rests on thirty-two questions instead of seventy-three, so each individual finding carries more than twice its usual weight, and what the verdict measures is largely how Zcash compares to general-purpose networks on ground where it was never competing.

Two security incidents, both found and fixed before anyone was harmed

Zcash has had two serious vulnerabilities in its shielded system, and in both cases the flaw was discovered by researchers, patched, and never exploited.

The first, disclosed in February 2019, was a soundness flaw in the original zero-knowledge proving system. An attacker who found it could have created ZEC out of nothing, undetectably, because the whole point of a shielded transaction is that its amounts are hidden. It was found by a researcher in March 2018, fixed in a network upgrade that October, and disclosed publicly once the fix was live. Nobody exploited it.

The second, disclosed on 31 March 2026, was a bug that caused some nodes to skip verifying shielded proofs entirely when processing new blocks. Roughly 25,000 ZEC was at risk. It was found, patched, and again never exploited.

Two survived incidents in ten years, both in the hardest part of the system to get right, both caught internally rather than by an attacker, is a real security record. It is also a reminder that the privacy guarantee is doing genuinely difficult mathematics, and that when it fails it fails invisibly.

Source: Electric Coin Company, 5 February 2019; Shielded Labs, 31 March 2026

The SEC investigation, and how it ended

In August 2023 the Zcash Foundation received a subpoena from the US Securities and Exchange Commission, as part of a broad inquiry the regulator was running into crypto asset offerings generally rather than into Zcash specifically.

In January 2026, the Foundation announced that the SEC had concluded its review and did not intend to recommend any enforcement action against it. No charges were brought, no findings were made against the project, and nothing was required to change. An investigation ending this way is the strongest available outcome short of never being investigated at all.

One distinction matters here and is easy to get wrong. The investigation concerned the Zcash Foundation, one of the organisations supporting the network. Electric Coin Company, which built Zcash originally, is a separate entity, and a governance disagreement between it and another organisation appears in the same period of news coverage. Reporting that merges the two tells a story neither one supports, and this page keeps them apart.

Source: Zcash Foundation, 14 January 2026

What Watch means for someone holding ZEC

Zcash passes nearly every test of whether a project is honest and fails nearly every test of whether anything is built on it.

The case in its favour is unusually clean. Across thirteen questions specifically designed to catch a project's claims diverging from its behaviour, Zcash fails none. It takes 0.0067% of its own value in fees and keeps none of it; there is no protocol take, no fee switch, no treasury. It passes the test of whether it needed a blockchain at all, decisively, because zero-knowledge proofs over a distributed network are not something a database can replicate. Its 21 million cap is real. Its two serious vulnerabilities were both found and fixed before anyone lost anything. And its fee income, after five years near zero, is currently at its highest level since 2018.

The case against it is one finding stated four ways: nothing is built on Zcash. That is true, and it is also close to a category error, since Zcash has no smart contract layer and was never trying to host an ecosystem. Two of those failing tests additionally rest on a figure that measures ZEC held off Zcash by other networks, which is the opposite of what they read it as, and a third rests on a source that says the opposite of what the test concluded.

Watch does not mean sell, and it does not mean avoid. It means this assessment could apply less than half its framework to Zcash, that the part it could apply mostly came back clean, and that the failures it found are about a kind of activity Zcash does not attempt.

Someone who owns ZEC owns a bearer asset on a network that takes almost nothing from its users, has a real supply cap with a fifth still to be issued, does one difficult thing well, and has almost nothing else happening on it.

ROI through the years

Bought and held to 9 September 2026, never traded. ZCASH is younger than the 10-year window, so that row is everything since it started trading instead.

Bought at listing, November 2016

+1,228%

×0.1break even×10×1,000
Worst drop along the way−97%

Bought 5 years ago, September 2021

+803%

×0.1break even×10×1,000
Worst drop along the way−94%

Bought 3 years ago, September 2023

+4,800%

×0.1break even×10×1,000
Worst drop along the way−72%

Zcash opened trading on an essentially empty order book at $12,001. This row is anchored to its first settled price, $93.55 on 10 November 2016; measured from the launch print it reads +24%.

Returns and falls are measured on daily closing prices, so a one-minute crash that did not settle cannot enter them. The worst drop is the largest peak-to-trough fall inside that row's window, not the token's all-time worst. Bars sit on a log scale of what one dollar became. Sources: Kraken, Binance.

What could not be answered

How much Zcash is actually used privately. This is the central limit on everything above, and it is not a gap in the data. It is the product working. Shielded transaction counts, volumes and rates are cryptographically hidden by design and do not exist in any source anywhere. Nothing on this page states or implies that private usage is low, high, rising or falling, because nothing could.

How much ZEC sits in the shielded pool right now. A figure exists, but no source publishes it with a date attached. Zcash's own site shows a number with no timestamp, and independent trackers disagree with it and with each other. Any specific figure quoted here would carry no vintage, so none is.

How Zcash's issuance is structured. The halving schedule, the block reward, and the development funding arrangement are all absent from the material available for this assessment. This page describes the cap and what remains unissued, and nothing about how the remainder arrives.

Whether Zcash has been independently audited. No audit could be confirmed either way, and unusually, the word does not appear anywhere in Zcash's own documentation gathered here. This is an absence of information, not a finding.

Anything Zcash itself says about these questions. Zcash's own published disclosures were never gathered. Where this page says something is unknown, it means unknown here.

Karinva takes no payment from any project it covers.